Breaking Down Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

CN | Basic Materials | Chemicals - Specialty | SHZ

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Curious whether Shandong Dawn Polymer Co., Ltd. (002838.SZ) is a growth story or a risky bet? In Q1 2025 the company posted a net profit attributable to shareholders of 44.28 million yuan (up 25.44% year‑on‑year) on revenue of 1.57 billion yuan (up 8.84% quarter‑on‑quarter), contributing to a trailing twelve‑months revenue of 5.99 billion yuan (up 20.98% YoY) and 2024 operating revenue of 5.301 billion yuan (up 16.65% YoY); profitability metrics show a P/E of 63.98, gross margin ~11.7% and net margin 2.7% with TTM net income of 173.31 million yuan and EPS of 0.38 yuan, while balance‑sheet strength is signaled by a conservative debt‑to‑equity ratio of 0.38, current ratio 1.67, interest coverage 4.97 and cash & equivalents of 437.82 million yuan-yet valuation multiples (EV/EBITDA 31.69, P/S ~1.61-1.93) and negative free cash flow introduce clear trade‑offs that every investor should weigh before proceeding to the detailed breakdown.

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Revenue Analysis

Shandong Dawn Polymer's recent top-line performance shows accelerating momentum from 2024 into early 2025, with key metrics reflecting improved scale and workforce productivity alongside a moderate market valuation.

  • Q1 2025 revenue: ¥1.57 billion (up 8.84% vs. prior quarter)
  • Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders: ¥44.28 million (up 25.44% YoY)
  • 2024 operating revenue: ¥5.301 billion (YoY growth 16.65%) - first time above ¥5.0 billion
  • TTM revenue: ¥5.99 billion (YoY growth 20.98%)
  • Revenue per employee: ¥2.62 million
  • Price-to-sales (P/S) ratio: 1.61

These figures indicate stronger sequential and annual revenue growth, improving profitability in Q1 2025, and efficient revenue generation per head. The P/S of 1.61 positions the stock at a moderate valuation relative to peers in the specialty polymer sector.

Metric Value Change / Note
Q1 2025 Revenue ¥1.57 billion +8.84% vs. Q4 2024
Q1 2025 Net Profit (attributable) ¥44.28 million +25.44% YoY
2024 Operating Revenue ¥5.301 billion +16.65% YoY
TTM Revenue ¥5.99 billion +20.98% YoY
Revenue per Employee ¥2.62 million Efficiency indicator
Price-to-Sales (P/S) 1.61 Moderate valuation

For deeper context on shareholder composition, trading activity and investor dynamics, see: Exploring Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Profitability Metrics

Key profitability indicators for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. in 2024 and trailing twelve months (TTM) provide a snapshot of margins, returns and per-share earnings that investors should weigh alongside industry context and capital structure.

  • Net profit attributable to shareholders (2024): ¥140.94 million - growth of 0.67% year-over-year.
  • Gross profit margin: ~11.7% - reflects production cost control and pricing relative to revenue.
  • Net profit margin: 2.7% - modest bottom-line profitability after operating and non-operating items.
  • Return on equity (ROE): 4.5% - return generated on shareholders' equity.
  • Return on assets (ROA): 2.2% - efficiency of asset base in producing net income.
  • TTM net income: ¥173.31 million; TTM earnings per share (EPS): ¥0.38.
Metric Value (2024 / TTM) Notes
Net profit attributable to shareholders ¥140.94 million (2024) YoY change: +0.67%
TTM Net income ¥173.31 million Most recent 12 months consolidated net income
EPS (TTM) ¥0.38 Earnings per share over trailing 12 months
Gross profit margin ~11.7% Revenue minus COGS as a percent of revenue
Net profit margin 2.7% Net income as a percent of revenue
ROE 4.5% Net income / Average shareholders' equity
ROA 2.2% Net income / Average total assets

Contextual items investors often cross-check with these metrics:

  • Trend analysis of margins and ROE/ROA over multiple periods to confirm stability or improvement.
  • Comparison versus peers in chemicals/polymers for margin and capital efficiency benchmarks.
  • Assessing drivers of the small YoY net profit increase (pricing, volume, input costs, or non-operating items).

Further company background and how Shandong Dawn Polymer operates can be reviewed here: Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure

Shandong Dawn Polymer's capital structure shows conservative leverage, solid short-term liquidity and sufficient earnings cover for interest expense. Key metrics below give a snapshot for investors assessing risk and financing flexibility.
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.38 - conservative leverage, less than 0.5 indicates equity-heavy financing.
  • Enterprise Value (EV): ¥12.83 billion - market + net debt measure of total valuation.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.97 - EBIT covers interest ~5x, signaling comfortable interest servicing.
  • Current Ratio: 1.67 - adequate short-term liquidity to meet upcoming obligations.
  • Quick Ratio: 1.23 - able to meet short-term liabilities without relying on inventory.
  • Total liabilities: not specified in the available data - use debt-to-equity and EV for leverage context.
Metric Value Investor Implication
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.38 Low financial risk from leverage; room to take on debt if needed
Enterprise Value ¥12.83 billion Reflects total market valuation including net debt
Interest Coverage Ratio 4.97 Healthy buffer for interest payments; moderate comfort
Current Ratio 1.67 Short-term obligations manageable
Quick Ratio 1.23 Liquidity without inventory support is satisfactory
Total Liabilities Not specified Use ratios and EV to infer leverage position
  • Practical takeaways for portfolio construction: conservative leverage supports stability in downturns; moderate interest coverage suggests monitoring earnings volatility.
  • Relative comparison: a 0.38 debt/equity posture typically compares favorably versus cyclical peers that carry higher leverage.
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) Liquidity and Solvency

Key balance-sheet and cash-flow signals point to a company with solid short-term liquidity, low leverage and active reinvestment into operations.

  • Cash and cash equivalents: 437.82 million yuan - a solid liquidity buffer for day-to-day needs and working capital.
  • Current / Quick ratios: not explicitly disclosed, but available commentary and reported metrics indicate sufficient short-term liquidity.
  • Cash ratio: not directly provided; inferred adequate given cash balances and working-capital indicators.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.38 - low financial leverage and reduced solvency risk relative to peers with higher gearing.
  • Interest coverage ratio: 4.97 - EBIT covers interest expense nearly five times, indicating comfortable debt-servicing capacity.
  • Free cash flow: negative - the company is investing heavily in operations and/or capex, which constrains distributable cash in the short term.
  • Total assets and total liabilities: not specified in available disclosures; overall ratios suggest a stable financial position despite missing raw totals.
Metric Value Notes
Cash & Cash Equivalents 437.82 million yuan Immediate liquidity reserve
Current Ratio Sufficient (not disclosed) Implied healthy working-capital position
Quick Ratio Sufficient (not disclosed) Inventories unlikely to be a short-term constraint
Cash Ratio Not provided Can be approximated from cash vs. short-term liabilities if disclosed later
Debt-to-Equity 0.38 Conservative leverage
Interest Coverage 4.97 EBIT covers interest ~5x
Free Cash Flow Negative Significant reinvestment / capex activity
Total Assets Not disclosed Aggregate position inferred from ratios
Total Liabilities Not disclosed Liabilities appear controlled relative to equity
  • Investor implications: the strong cash balance and low leverage lower downside volatility, while negative free cash flow signals growth or capacity expansion - monitor capex conversion to returns.
  • Risk monitors: confirm detailed current/quick ratios and evolving free-cash-flow trends in upcoming reports; watch interest coverage trajectory if earnings fluctuate.
  • Further reading on company context and strategy: Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Valuation Analysis

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) exhibits valuation metrics that point to a premium market pricing, driven by investor expectations of sustained growth and a solid market position in specialty polymers.
  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E): 63.98 - a high valuation relative to current earnings, implying expectations of future EPS growth or limited near-term profitability expansion.
  • Price-to-Sales (P/S): 1.93 - moderate revenue multiple, suggesting investors pay a near-2x multiple on top-line revenue.
  • EV/EBITDA: 31.69 - a lofty multiple on operating cash earnings, indicating a premium for cash-generation quality or expected margin/volume expansion.
  • Market Capitalization: 11.53 billion yuan - total equity market value reflecting investor appetite for the company.
  • Relative to peers: valuation ratios exceed typical industry averages, signaling stronger market confidence or higher growth expectations versus peers.
Metric Value Implication
P/E 63.98 High-market pricing implies expected earnings growth or scarcity of earnings relative to share price.
P/S 1.93 Moderate-investors pay nearly 2x revenue, acceptable if gross margins and revenue growth are sustainable.
EV/EBITDA 31.69 Elevated-reflects premium on operating cash flow; sensitive to margin improvements or EBITDA expansion.
Market Cap 11.53 billion yuan Mid-cap scale within chemical/polymers sector; impacts liquidity and index inclusion considerations.
  • Investment interpretation: high P/E and EV/EBITDA require confidence in future revenue growth, margin recovery, or both; downside risk exists if growth disappoints.
  • Relative valuation: being above industry averages can reflect superior product mix, technological edge, or investor positioning for sector cycles.
  • Key monitoring metrics for investors: revenue growth rate, gross and EBITDA margins, capex and working capital trends, and quarterly EPS delivery versus expectations.
Exploring Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) Risk Factors

Investors assessing Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) should weigh several company-specific and sectoral risks that could materially affect returns and valuation.

  • Negative free cash flow: reported operating free cash flow was approximately -¥120 million in FY2023, raising liquidity and reinvestment concerns.
  • Elevated valuation: trailing P/E sits near 45x (FY2023 earnings basis), suggesting limited margin for error if earnings disappoint.
  • Concentration in NEV market: roughly 55% of revenue is tied to components and polymers for the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, exposing the company to cyclical and policy shifts in that industry.
  • Customer concentration: the top five customers accounted for about 62% of revenue in FY2023, heightening counterparty and negotiating-power risks.
  • Low profitability margins: gross margin ~12% and net margin ~3% (FY2023), which constrains ability to absorb cost inflation or volume declines.
  • Conservative leverage profile: debt-to-equity ratio ~0.15 indicates low current financial leverage but may reflect underutilization of debt for growth or working capital optimization.
Metric FY2023 Value Implication
Free Cash Flow -¥120 million Potential liquidity pressure; limits internal funding for capex/dividends
P/E Ratio (trailing) ~45x High valuation sensitivity to earnings misses
Revenue Exposure to NEV ~55% Sector-specific demand and policy risk
Top 5 Customers (% of revenue) ~62% Customer concentration and counterparty risk
Debt-to-Equity Ratio ~0.15 Low leverage - less financial risk but potential underuse of capital structure
Gross Margin ~12% Limited pricing power; vulnerability to input-cost shocks
Net Margin ~3% Thin profitability cushion
  • Liquidity stress scenarios: continued negative free cash flow combined with slowing NEV sales or a loss of a major customer could force asset sales, equity raises, or more expensive debt financing.
  • Valuation risk: at a 45x P/E, even modest earnings downgrades can produce outsized share-price declines versus peers with lower multiples.
  • Operational concentration: reliance on a narrow product set for NEVs amplifies technological and demand risk should OEM standards or materials shift.
  • Strategic trade-offs: low leverage preserves balance-sheet flexibility but may hinder growth acceleration or margin improvement initiatives that require capital.

For broader context on ownership and investor flows that may amplify these risks, see: Exploring Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Growth Opportunities

Shandong Dawn Polymer is positioning itself to capture expansion across elastomers, modified plastics and higher-value specialty polymers. Key strategic moves align with macro demand and policy tailwinds while targeting diversification of revenue and margin improvement.
  • Product-line expansion: moving from commodity resins toward elastomers and modified plastics to target higher-margin end-markets (automotive, industrial seals, specialty adhesives).
  • R&D and market development: stepped-up capex and talent recruitment aimed at shortening product development cycles and raising product technical thresholds versus peers.
  • Overseas customer development: active push into Southeast Asia, Europe and Latin America to reduce single-market concentration and smooth seasonal volatility.
  • Green and high-end product focus: developing low-carbon feedstock routes, bio-based modifiers and higher-performance formulations to match global sustainability standards.
  • International exhibitions & branding: greater participation in trade shows to showcase technology and secure OEM qualification opportunities.
  • Policy leverage: benefiting from national consumption-promoting measures and industrial subsidies that stimulate demand in construction, automotive and consumer goods.
Opportunity Market Metric / Indicator Implication for Dawn Polymer
Global elastomers market Estimated market size ~USD 40-65 billion (2024-2028 horizon), CAGR ~4-6% Provides scalable addressable market for newly launched elastomer grades
Modified plastics demand (engineering plastics, compatibilizers) Global engineering plastics market > USD 80 billion by mid-decade; automotive + electronics are key drivers Higher ASPs and margin uplift potential if product specs meet OEM standards
R&D intensity Target: increase R&D spend to 3-5% of revenue (industry benchmark for specialty polymer transition) Accelerates product qualification, shortens time-to-market
Export diversification Current export share (China specialty polymer peers): 15-35% of revenue; target for Dawn: incremental +5-15 p.p. over 3 years Reduces domestic cyclicality and captures higher-margin international contracts
Sustainability product premium Green/sustainable polymer premiums: 5-20% price premium depending on certification and application Opportunity to command higher margins and win OEM listings with low-carbon credentials
  • Short-term KPIs to watch: R&D headcount and spend growth, number of new product qualifications, percentage of revenue from elastomers/modified plastics, export revenue growth rate.
  • Medium-term KPIs: gross margin expansion (target +2-6 percentage points vs. commodity baseline), share of high-end products in total sales, number of international OEM contracts secured.
Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.

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