Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) Bundle
Curious whether Shandong Dawn Polymer Co., Ltd. (002838.SZ) is a growth story or a risky bet? In Q1 2025 the company posted a net profit attributable to shareholders of 44.28 million yuan (up 25.44% year‑on‑year) on revenue of 1.57 billion yuan (up 8.84% quarter‑on‑quarter), contributing to a trailing twelve‑months revenue of 5.99 billion yuan (up 20.98% YoY) and 2024 operating revenue of 5.301 billion yuan (up 16.65% YoY); profitability metrics show a P/E of 63.98, gross margin ~11.7% and net margin 2.7% with TTM net income of 173.31 million yuan and EPS of 0.38 yuan, while balance‑sheet strength is signaled by a conservative debt‑to‑equity ratio of 0.38, current ratio 1.67, interest coverage 4.97 and cash & equivalents of 437.82 million yuan-yet valuation multiples (EV/EBITDA 31.69, P/S ~1.61-1.93) and negative free cash flow introduce clear trade‑offs that every investor should weigh before proceeding to the detailed breakdown.
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Revenue Analysis
Shandong Dawn Polymer's recent top-line performance shows accelerating momentum from 2024 into early 2025, with key metrics reflecting improved scale and workforce productivity alongside a moderate market valuation.
- Q1 2025 revenue: ¥1.57 billion (up 8.84% vs. prior quarter)
- Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders: ¥44.28 million (up 25.44% YoY)
- 2024 operating revenue: ¥5.301 billion (YoY growth 16.65%) - first time above ¥5.0 billion
- TTM revenue: ¥5.99 billion (YoY growth 20.98%)
- Revenue per employee: ¥2.62 million
- Price-to-sales (P/S) ratio: 1.61
These figures indicate stronger sequential and annual revenue growth, improving profitability in Q1 2025, and efficient revenue generation per head. The P/S of 1.61 positions the stock at a moderate valuation relative to peers in the specialty polymer sector.
| Metric | Value | Change / Note |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 Revenue | ¥1.57 billion | +8.84% vs. Q4 2024 |
| Q1 2025 Net Profit (attributable) | ¥44.28 million | +25.44% YoY |
| 2024 Operating Revenue | ¥5.301 billion | +16.65% YoY |
| TTM Revenue | ¥5.99 billion | +20.98% YoY |
| Revenue per Employee | ¥2.62 million | Efficiency indicator |
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | 1.61 | Moderate valuation |
For deeper context on shareholder composition, trading activity and investor dynamics, see: Exploring Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Profitability Metrics
Key profitability indicators for Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. in 2024 and trailing twelve months (TTM) provide a snapshot of margins, returns and per-share earnings that investors should weigh alongside industry context and capital structure.
- Net profit attributable to shareholders (2024): ¥140.94 million - growth of 0.67% year-over-year.
- Gross profit margin: ~11.7% - reflects production cost control and pricing relative to revenue.
- Net profit margin: 2.7% - modest bottom-line profitability after operating and non-operating items.
- Return on equity (ROE): 4.5% - return generated on shareholders' equity.
- Return on assets (ROA): 2.2% - efficiency of asset base in producing net income.
- TTM net income: ¥173.31 million; TTM earnings per share (EPS): ¥0.38.
| Metric | Value (2024 / TTM) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Net profit attributable to shareholders | ¥140.94 million (2024) | YoY change: +0.67% |
| TTM Net income | ¥173.31 million | Most recent 12 months consolidated net income |
| EPS (TTM) | ¥0.38 | Earnings per share over trailing 12 months |
| Gross profit margin | ~11.7% | Revenue minus COGS as a percent of revenue |
| Net profit margin | 2.7% | Net income as a percent of revenue |
| ROE | 4.5% | Net income / Average shareholders' equity |
| ROA | 2.2% | Net income / Average total assets |
Contextual items investors often cross-check with these metrics:
- Trend analysis of margins and ROE/ROA over multiple periods to confirm stability or improvement.
- Comparison versus peers in chemicals/polymers for margin and capital efficiency benchmarks.
- Assessing drivers of the small YoY net profit increase (pricing, volume, input costs, or non-operating items).
Further company background and how Shandong Dawn Polymer operates can be reviewed here: Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure
Shandong Dawn Polymer's capital structure shows conservative leverage, solid short-term liquidity and sufficient earnings cover for interest expense. Key metrics below give a snapshot for investors assessing risk and financing flexibility.- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.38 - conservative leverage, less than 0.5 indicates equity-heavy financing.
- Enterprise Value (EV): ¥12.83 billion - market + net debt measure of total valuation.
- Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.97 - EBIT covers interest ~5x, signaling comfortable interest servicing.
- Current Ratio: 1.67 - adequate short-term liquidity to meet upcoming obligations.
- Quick Ratio: 1.23 - able to meet short-term liabilities without relying on inventory.
- Total liabilities: not specified in the available data - use debt-to-equity and EV for leverage context.
| Metric | Value | Investor Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.38 | Low financial risk from leverage; room to take on debt if needed |
| Enterprise Value | ¥12.83 billion | Reflects total market valuation including net debt |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | 4.97 | Healthy buffer for interest payments; moderate comfort |
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | Short-term obligations manageable |
| Quick Ratio | 1.23 | Liquidity without inventory support is satisfactory |
| Total Liabilities | Not specified | Use ratios and EV to infer leverage position |
- Practical takeaways for portfolio construction: conservative leverage supports stability in downturns; moderate interest coverage suggests monitoring earnings volatility.
- Relative comparison: a 0.38 debt/equity posture typically compares favorably versus cyclical peers that carry higher leverage.
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) Liquidity and Solvency
Key balance-sheet and cash-flow signals point to a company with solid short-term liquidity, low leverage and active reinvestment into operations.
- Cash and cash equivalents: 437.82 million yuan - a solid liquidity buffer for day-to-day needs and working capital.
- Current / Quick ratios: not explicitly disclosed, but available commentary and reported metrics indicate sufficient short-term liquidity.
- Cash ratio: not directly provided; inferred adequate given cash balances and working-capital indicators.
- Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.38 - low financial leverage and reduced solvency risk relative to peers with higher gearing.
- Interest coverage ratio: 4.97 - EBIT covers interest expense nearly five times, indicating comfortable debt-servicing capacity.
- Free cash flow: negative - the company is investing heavily in operations and/or capex, which constrains distributable cash in the short term.
- Total assets and total liabilities: not specified in available disclosures; overall ratios suggest a stable financial position despite missing raw totals.
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 437.82 million yuan | Immediate liquidity reserve |
| Current Ratio | Sufficient (not disclosed) | Implied healthy working-capital position |
| Quick Ratio | Sufficient (not disclosed) | Inventories unlikely to be a short-term constraint |
| Cash Ratio | Not provided | Can be approximated from cash vs. short-term liabilities if disclosed later |
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.38 | Conservative leverage |
| Interest Coverage | 4.97 | EBIT covers interest ~5x |
| Free Cash Flow | Negative | Significant reinvestment / capex activity |
| Total Assets | Not disclosed | Aggregate position inferred from ratios |
| Total Liabilities | Not disclosed | Liabilities appear controlled relative to equity |
- Investor implications: the strong cash balance and low leverage lower downside volatility, while negative free cash flow signals growth or capacity expansion - monitor capex conversion to returns.
- Risk monitors: confirm detailed current/quick ratios and evolving free-cash-flow trends in upcoming reports; watch interest coverage trajectory if earnings fluctuate.
- Further reading on company context and strategy: Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Valuation Analysis
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) exhibits valuation metrics that point to a premium market pricing, driven by investor expectations of sustained growth and a solid market position in specialty polymers.- Price-to-Earnings (P/E): 63.98 - a high valuation relative to current earnings, implying expectations of future EPS growth or limited near-term profitability expansion.
- Price-to-Sales (P/S): 1.93 - moderate revenue multiple, suggesting investors pay a near-2x multiple on top-line revenue.
- EV/EBITDA: 31.69 - a lofty multiple on operating cash earnings, indicating a premium for cash-generation quality or expected margin/volume expansion.
- Market Capitalization: 11.53 billion yuan - total equity market value reflecting investor appetite for the company.
- Relative to peers: valuation ratios exceed typical industry averages, signaling stronger market confidence or higher growth expectations versus peers.
| Metric | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 63.98 | High-market pricing implies expected earnings growth or scarcity of earnings relative to share price. |
| P/S | 1.93 | Moderate-investors pay nearly 2x revenue, acceptable if gross margins and revenue growth are sustainable. |
| EV/EBITDA | 31.69 | Elevated-reflects premium on operating cash flow; sensitive to margin improvements or EBITDA expansion. |
| Market Cap | 11.53 billion yuan | Mid-cap scale within chemical/polymers sector; impacts liquidity and index inclusion considerations. |
- Investment interpretation: high P/E and EV/EBITDA require confidence in future revenue growth, margin recovery, or both; downside risk exists if growth disappoints.
- Relative valuation: being above industry averages can reflect superior product mix, technological edge, or investor positioning for sector cycles.
- Key monitoring metrics for investors: revenue growth rate, gross and EBITDA margins, capex and working capital trends, and quarterly EPS delivery versus expectations.
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) Risk Factors
Investors assessing Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) should weigh several company-specific and sectoral risks that could materially affect returns and valuation.
- Negative free cash flow: reported operating free cash flow was approximately -¥120 million in FY2023, raising liquidity and reinvestment concerns.
- Elevated valuation: trailing P/E sits near 45x (FY2023 earnings basis), suggesting limited margin for error if earnings disappoint.
- Concentration in NEV market: roughly 55% of revenue is tied to components and polymers for the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, exposing the company to cyclical and policy shifts in that industry.
- Customer concentration: the top five customers accounted for about 62% of revenue in FY2023, heightening counterparty and negotiating-power risks.
- Low profitability margins: gross margin ~12% and net margin ~3% (FY2023), which constrains ability to absorb cost inflation or volume declines.
- Conservative leverage profile: debt-to-equity ratio ~0.15 indicates low current financial leverage but may reflect underutilization of debt for growth or working capital optimization.
| Metric | FY2023 Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | -¥120 million | Potential liquidity pressure; limits internal funding for capex/dividends |
| P/E Ratio (trailing) | ~45x | High valuation sensitivity to earnings misses |
| Revenue Exposure to NEV | ~55% | Sector-specific demand and policy risk |
| Top 5 Customers (% of revenue) | ~62% | Customer concentration and counterparty risk |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | ~0.15 | Low leverage - less financial risk but potential underuse of capital structure |
| Gross Margin | ~12% | Limited pricing power; vulnerability to input-cost shocks |
| Net Margin | ~3% | Thin profitability cushion |
- Liquidity stress scenarios: continued negative free cash flow combined with slowing NEV sales or a loss of a major customer could force asset sales, equity raises, or more expensive debt financing.
- Valuation risk: at a 45x P/E, even modest earnings downgrades can produce outsized share-price declines versus peers with lower multiples.
- Operational concentration: reliance on a narrow product set for NEVs amplifies technological and demand risk should OEM standards or materials shift.
- Strategic trade-offs: low leverage preserves balance-sheet flexibility but may hinder growth acceleration or margin improvement initiatives that require capital.
For broader context on ownership and investor flows that may amplify these risks, see: Exploring Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Shandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd. (002838.SZ) - Growth Opportunities
Shandong Dawn Polymer is positioning itself to capture expansion across elastomers, modified plastics and higher-value specialty polymers. Key strategic moves align with macro demand and policy tailwinds while targeting diversification of revenue and margin improvement.- Product-line expansion: moving from commodity resins toward elastomers and modified plastics to target higher-margin end-markets (automotive, industrial seals, specialty adhesives).
- R&D and market development: stepped-up capex and talent recruitment aimed at shortening product development cycles and raising product technical thresholds versus peers.
- Overseas customer development: active push into Southeast Asia, Europe and Latin America to reduce single-market concentration and smooth seasonal volatility.
- Green and high-end product focus: developing low-carbon feedstock routes, bio-based modifiers and higher-performance formulations to match global sustainability standards.
- International exhibitions & branding: greater participation in trade shows to showcase technology and secure OEM qualification opportunities.
- Policy leverage: benefiting from national consumption-promoting measures and industrial subsidies that stimulate demand in construction, automotive and consumer goods.
| Opportunity | Market Metric / Indicator | Implication for Dawn Polymer |
|---|---|---|
| Global elastomers market | Estimated market size ~USD 40-65 billion (2024-2028 horizon), CAGR ~4-6% | Provides scalable addressable market for newly launched elastomer grades |
| Modified plastics demand (engineering plastics, compatibilizers) | Global engineering plastics market > USD 80 billion by mid-decade; automotive + electronics are key drivers | Higher ASPs and margin uplift potential if product specs meet OEM standards |
| R&D intensity | Target: increase R&D spend to 3-5% of revenue (industry benchmark for specialty polymer transition) | Accelerates product qualification, shortens time-to-market |
| Export diversification | Current export share (China specialty polymer peers): 15-35% of revenue; target for Dawn: incremental +5-15 p.p. over 3 years | Reduces domestic cyclicality and captures higher-margin international contracts |
| Sustainability product premium | Green/sustainable polymer premiums: 5-20% price premium depending on certification and application | Opportunity to command higher margins and win OEM listings with low-carbon credentials |
- Short-term KPIs to watch: R&D headcount and spend growth, number of new product qualifications, percentage of revenue from elastomers/modified plastics, export revenue growth rate.
- Medium-term KPIs: gross margin expansion (target +2-6 percentage points vs. commodity baseline), share of high-end products in total sales, number of international OEM contracts secured.

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