Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) Bundle
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank's latest figures demand a closer look: revenue climbed to 5.80 billion yuan in 2024 (up 7.83% year‑on‑year) and reached 5.859 billion yuan in H1 2024, while net income rose to 2.62 billion yuan in 2024 with EPS of 0.41 yuan, underpinning an ROE of 7.24% and an ROA of 0.59%-yet NIM slipped to 1.73% from 1.83% as funding pressures emerge; the bank sits on a 17.61 billion yuan market cap with a compelling P/E of 7.30 and forward P/E of 6.26 plus a 3.83% dividend yield, supported by a retail deposit base of 443.4 billion yuan (retail up 16.6% to 50.9% of deposits), strong liquidity metrics (LCR 203.02%, NSFR 120.31%), and prudent capital adequacy, while concentration in Shandong, smaller client credit profiles, and anticipated NIM pressure in 2025 pose clear risks-offset by expansion to 17 branches, a 3 billion yuan SME bond issuance, approval to raise up to 2 billion yuan in supplementary capital, and digital adoption with over 40% of transactions online, all of which shape the trade‑offs investors need to weigh before diving deeper into the numbers.
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Revenue Analysis
Key top-line figures and short-period performance metrics for Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ).
- H1 2024 revenue: 5.859 billion yuan, +4.75% YoY.
- Full-year 2024 revenue: 5.80 billion yuan, +7.83% vs. 2023 (2023 revenue: 5.38 billion yuan).
- Revenue growth reported for 2024: 7.83% (contrast: 2023 growth implied by 2023 base of 5.38 billion).
- Q1 2025 net interest income: 1,790.69 million yuan (vs. 1,751.62 million yuan in Q1 2024).
- Revenue per employee: 1.06 million yuan; total employees: 5,832.
- Market capitalization: 17.61 billion yuan.
| Period | Revenue (billion yuan) | YoY Growth | Net Interest Income (million yuan) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 (full year) | 5.38 | - | - |
| 2024 (full year) | 5.80 | +7.83% | - |
| H1 2024 | 5.859 | +4.75% YoY (vs H1 2023) | - |
| Q1 2025 | - | - | 1,790.69 |
| Q1 2024 | - | - | 1,751.62 |
| Employees | 5,832 | Revenue per employee | 1.06 million yuan |
| Market Cap | 17.61 billion yuan | ||
- Revenue trend: full-year 2024 shows solid YoY expansion (+7.83%) on a 2023 base of 5.38 billion yuan.
- H1 2024 and Q1 2025 interest trends indicate stable net interest income growth (Q1 2025 NII up vs Q1 2024).
- Operational productivity: ~1.06 million yuan revenue per employee signals moderate efficiency for a regional commercial bank.
Further institutional context and background: Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Profitability Metrics
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank delivered measurable profitability improvements in 2024 while facing margin pressure. Key headline figures for 2024 underline the bank's earnings growth and efficiency posture.- Net income (2024): 2.62 billion yuan - up 12.40% year-on-year.
- Earnings per share (EPS, 2024): 0.41 yuan.
- Return on equity (ROE, 2024): 7.24%.
- Return on assets (ROA, 2024): 0.59%.
- Net interest margin (NIM): 1.73% in 2024, down from 1.83% at end-2023.
- Cost-to-income ratio: remained stable, indicating continued cost control (no material deterioration reported).
| Metric | 2023 | 2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income (yuan) | ≈ 2.33 billion | 2.62 billion | +12.40% |
| EPS (yuan) | ≈ 0.365 | 0.41 | +12.33% |
| ROE | N/A | 7.24% | N/A |
| ROA | N/A | 0.59% | N/A |
| NIM | 1.83% | 1.73% | -0.10 ppt |
| Cost-to-income ratio | Stable (N/A) | Stable (N/A) | Stable |
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank's liability and funding profile at the end of 2024 shows a deposit-heavy structure with solid liquidity and stable funding metrics, supporting a conservative debt/equity posture.- Customer deposits: ¥443.4 billion, representing 68.7% of total liabilities (end-2024).
- Retail deposits growth: +16.6% in 2024; retail deposits account for 50.9% of total deposits.
- Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR): 203.02% (end-2024), indicating comfortable short-term liquidity coverage above regulatory minima.
- Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR): 120.31% (end-2024), reflecting stable longer-term funding well above required thresholds.
- Debt-to-equity: moderate, reflecting prudent leverage management relative to peers and internal risk appetite.
- Capital Adequacy Ratio: in line with regulatory requirements, supporting resilience to stress scenarios.
| Metric (End-2024) | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Customer Deposits | ¥443.4 billion | 68.7% of total liabilities - core funding base |
| Retail Deposits (% of total deposits) | 50.9% | Higher retail share reduces rollover risk |
| Retail Deposit Growth (2024) | +16.6% | Strong retail gathering momentum |
| Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) | 203.02% | Robust short-term liquidity buffer |
| Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) | 120.31% | Healthy stable funding over one year |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | Moderate (conservative leverage) | Prudent financial management |
| Capital Adequacy Ratio | In line with regulatory requirements | Meets regulatory solvency standards |
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Liquidity and Solvency
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank demonstrates solid short‑ and medium‑term funding strength at the end of 2024, supported by a large retail deposit franchise and steady operating efficiency.
- Liquidity Coverage Ratio (end‑2024): 203.02% - comfortable buffer above regulatory minima.
- Net Stable Funding Ratio (end‑2024): 120.31% - reflects stable funding composition and lower reliance on short‑term wholesale funding.
- Capital adequacy: meets regulatory standards, providing solvency protection against stress.
- Debt‑to‑equity: moderate leverage, consistent with regional bank peers and conservative underwriting practices.
- Funding profile: broadly stable, anchored by a large retail deposit base that reduces funding volatility.
- Cost management: cost‑to‑income ratio remained stable through 2024, supporting profitability resilience.
| Metric | Reported / Status (end‑2024) |
|---|---|
| Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) | 203.02% |
| Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) | 120.31% |
| Capital Adequacy | Meets regulatory standards |
| Debt‑to‑Equity | Moderate (peer‑consistent) |
| Funding Base | Retail deposit‑led, broadly stable |
| Cost‑to‑Income Ratio | Stable (year‑over‑year) |
Key operational implications:
- High LCR (>200%) gives the bank scope to weather short‑term market stress and liquidity shocks.
- NSFR above 100% indicates a structurally stable funding profile for medium‑to‑longer maturities.
- Retail deposit concentration lowers funding costs and volatility but requires ongoing focus on deposit retention and pricing.
- Stable cost‑to‑income points to disciplined expense control, complementing liquidity and capital buffers.
Further context and investor‑level details can be found here: Exploring Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Valuation Analysis
- Current trailing P/E: 7.30 - indicates the stock is trading at roughly 7.3 times last 12 months' earnings, a level commonly viewed as value-oriented for a commercial bank.
- Forward P/E: 6.26 - market-implied earnings growth or improvement in profitability is priced in for the coming period.
- EPS (2024): 0.41 yuan - base earnings metric driving P/E computation and shareholder returns.
- Market capitalization: 17.61 billion yuan - defines the equity value investors are buying into.
- Dividend yield: 3.83% - provides a cash return component that enhances total investor yield.
- P/S ratio: 2.84 - revenue-based valuation suggesting a reasonable price relative to sales for a regional bank.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 7.30 |
| Forward P/E | 6.26 |
| EPS (2024) | 0.41 yuan |
| Market Cap | 17.61 billion yuan |
| Dividend Yield | 3.83% |
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | 2.84 |
- Valuation context: a sub-8 trailing P/E and forward P/E near 6.3 typically signal market expectations of steady earnings with limited risk premium; combined with a 3.83% yield, total expected investor returns can be attractive if credit quality and NIMs hold.
- EPS sensitivity: with EPS of 0.41 yuan, a small percentage change in earnings materially affects P/E multiples - monitor loan-loss provisions, net interest margin (NIM), and fee income trends.
- Relative measures: P/S of 2.84 helps normalize across banks with differing expense structures; compare to peers to confirm whether the stock is cheap on both earnings and revenue bases.
- Capitalization and liquidity considerations: market cap of 17.61 billion yuan places the bank in small-cap regional bank territory - liquidity risk and index inclusion effects may influence multiple volatility.
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Risk Factors
Key risk exposures and metrics investors should weigh when assessing Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ).
- Regional concentration: core business and branch network heavily concentrated in Shandong Province, increasing sensitivity to local economic, industrial and property-cycle shocks.
- Client credit profile: lending book biased toward small and micro enterprises, local private firms and retail customers with comparatively weaker credit quality than large state-owned bank counterparties.
- NIM pressure: management guidance and market conditions point to continued compression of net interest margin into 2025.
- Profitability constraints: moderate return metrics imply limited buffer to absorb further margin compression or asset-quality deterioration.
- Cost control: cost-to-income ratio has been stable but ongoing digitalization, compliance and credit-monitoring expenses create persistent cost-management pressure.
- Leverage posture: a moderate debt-to-equity profile that supports growth but could amplify earnings volatility in stress scenarios.
| Metric | Latest Reported / FY | Value | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total assets | FY2023 (approx.) | RMB 680.0 billion | Regional retail and SME-focused balance sheet scale |
| Net interest margin (NIM) | FY2023 | ~1.8%-2.0% | Management expects continued pressure into 2025 |
| Return on assets (ROA) | FY2023 | ~0.35%-0.45% | Moderate profitability for a regional bank |
| Return on equity (ROE) | FY2023 | ~7.5%-9.0% | Indicative of constrained margin and capital costs |
| Cost-to-income ratio | FY2023 | ~36%-40% | Stable but with upward cost pressures |
| Non-performing loan (NPL) ratio | FY2023 | ~1.2%-1.5% | Higher-risk SME/retail mix requires monitoring |
| Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) / CAR | FY2023 | CET1 ~10.0%-11.0% / CAR ~12.0%-13.5% | Capital adequacy in line with regional peers |
| Debt-to-equity ratio (liabilities / equity) | FY2023 | ~10-13x (implied) | Moderate leverage supporting lending growth |
- Concentrated regional exposure raises correlation risk-an economic slowdown in Shandong (manufacturing, property, agriculture) would directly affect asset quality and loan demand.
- SME and retail borrower base increases sensitivity to localized employment and cash-flow shocks; recovery of problem loans may be slower than for national banks.
- Prolonged NIM compression in 2025 would reduce net interest income unless offset by volume growth or fee-income expansion.
- With ROE in the high single digits, the bank has limited buffer against credit losses or higher operating costs; capital raising could be required under stress.
- Cost-to-income stability masks rising investments in IT, compliance and risk controls-failure to control these costs risks margin erosion.
- Moderate leverage supports return enhancement but could amplify capital strain if loan-loss provisions rise; CET1 and CAR should be monitored for trend deterioration.
For broader context on the bank's history, ownership and business model see: Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) - Growth Opportunities
Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (002958.SZ) is positioned to capture regional growth through targeted capital-raising, network expansion, and strategic focus areas that align with macroeconomic priorities in Shandong Province and national directives on inclusive and green finance.- Branch network expansion: 17 locations across Shandong Province as of June 2025, improving deposit franchise and SME outreach.
- Capital support for SME lending: Issued RMB 3.0 billion in special financial bonds in December 2024 specifically to support small and micro enterprises.
- Regulatory capital flexibility: Secured approval in June 2025 to issue up to RMB 2.0 billion in capital supplementary instruments, strengthening Tier 2 capital capacity.
- Digital transformation traction: Over 40% of transactions conducted via mobile banking and online platforms as of September 2023, raising efficiency and customer engagement.
- Strategic product focus: Emphasis on technology, green finance, inclusive finance, aging finance, and digital finance to capture evolving market demand.
- Agriculture and SME orientation: Continued commitment to agricultural financing and SME support aligns with regional development policy and stable credit demand.
| Metric | Value / Date |
|---|---|
| Branches in Shandong | 17 (June 2025) |
| Special financial bonds issued | RMB 3.0 billion (Dec 2024) |
| Regulatory approval for capital instruments | Up to RMB 2.0 billion (Jun 2025) |
| Share of digital/mobile transactions | >40% (Sep 2023) |
| Core strategic focuses | Technology, Green, Inclusive, Aging, Digital Finance |
- Targeted SME product suites backed by bond-funded liquidity - enabling competitive lending to micro and small enterprises in the region.
- Capital supplementary issuance capacity - provides cushion for credit expansion and regulatory compliance while supporting higher-risk retail and SME segments.
- Branch footprint plus digital delivery - combination of 17 physical outlets and a >40% digital transaction mix supports omnichannel customer acquisition and lower marginal servicing costs.
- Sector alignment - green and agricultural finance initiatives tap policy incentives and stable credit pools tied to local development plans.
- Prudent capitalization: use of approved capital instruments to preserve core Tier 1 while expanding risk-weighted assets.
- Funding diversification: access to capital markets through special bonds and potential follow-on issuances reduces concentration on single funding sources.
- Technology investments: continued digital adoption reduces cost-to-serve and improves cross-sell metrics-critical for profitability in retail and SME segments.
- Regulatory and policy tailwinds: alignment with national/regional priorities (inclusive finance, support for agriculture/SMEs, green finance) increases access to preferential programs and cooperative local government initiatives.

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