Breaking Down McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

Breaking Down McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

JP | Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | JPX

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Peeling back the numbers on McDonald's Holdings Company, Ltd. (2702.T) reveals a compact yet compelling financial story: quarterly revenue of ¥102.10 billion (Q2 ended June 30, 2025) and TTM sales of ¥407.80 billion with 2024 annual revenue at ¥405.48 billion, while profitability shows TTM net income of ¥49.445 billion and a 2024 net profit margin near 12.0%; the balance sheet is conservative-total assets of ¥335.4 billion against liabilities of ¥72.1 billion (debt-to-equity ~0.21) and cash and equivalents of ¥74.8 billion-supporting strong liquidity metrics (current ratio ~4.5, quick ratio ~3.8, cash ratio ~3.0) and solid cash generation (2024 free cash flow ≈ ¥15.0 billion), while market valuation sits around a market cap of ¥850.94 billion with a trailing P/E of 24.52 and an intrinsic DCF estimate of ¥6,921.50 (implying roughly 8.7% undervaluation), all against a backdrop of competitive and regulatory risks and clear growth levers in store expansion, menu innovation, digital channels and sustainability-read on for the full breakdown of how these figures translate into investment implications

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) Revenue Analysis

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) showed modest revenue expansion through mid-2025 with steady per-employee productivity and a market valuation that prices sales at roughly twice their annual level.

  • Quarter (ending June 30, 2025) revenue: ¥102.10 billion - +2.48% vs prior quarter.
  • Trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue as of June 30, 2025: ¥407.80 billion - +1.82% YoY.
  • Annual revenue (2024): ¥405.48 billion - +6.15% vs 2023.
  • Employees: 2,517; Revenue per employee: ≈ ¥162.02 million.
  • Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio: 2.00.
  • Market capitalization (Oct 27, 2025): ¥815.04 billion; Stock price: ¥6,130.00.
Metric Value Change Period
Quarterly Revenue ¥102.10 billion +2.48% Q2 2025 (ended Jun 30, 2025)
TTM Revenue ¥407.80 billion +1.82% YoY TTM to Jun 30, 2025
Annual Revenue ¥405.48 billion +6.15% vs 2023 2024
Employees 2,517 - Latest reported
Revenue per Employee ¥162.02 million - Calculated
Price-to-Sales (P/S) 2.00 - Market metric
Market Capitalization ¥815.04 billion - Oct 27, 2025
Stock Price ¥6,130.00 - Oct 27, 2025

For additional investor context and ownership trends, see: Exploring McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Profitability Metrics

  • Trailing twelve months (TTM) net income as of June 30, 2025: ¥49.445 billion.
  • Fiscal year net income (FY 2024): ¥47.226 billion (up from ¥19.937 billion in 2022).
  • FY 2024 operating income: ¥51.0 billion, a 6.2% increase year-over-year.
  • FY 2024 gross profit: ¥86.381 billion (up from ¥80.988 billion in 2023).
  • FY 2024 net profit margin: ~12.0%.
  • FY 2024 earnings per share (EPS): ¥254.47; price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio: 23.74.
Metric 2022 2023 2024 (FY) TTM (to 2025-06-30)
Net income (¥bn) 19.937 - 47.226 49.445
Gross profit (¥bn) - 80.988 86.381 -
Operating income (¥bn) - - 51.0 -
Net profit margin - - 12.0% -
EPS (¥) - - 254.47 -
P/E ratio - - 23.74 -
  • Profitability trend: net income rose materially from ¥19.937 billion (2022) to ¥47.226 billion (2024), with further TTM growth to ¥49.445 billion by mid‑2025.
  • Margin and EPS levels in FY 2024 indicate efficient cost control and solid per‑share earnings for investors.
  • Operating income growth (6.2% YoY in 2024) supports expanding core profitability despite macro variability.
McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Debt vs. Equity Structure

As of June 30, 2025, McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) presented a conservative capital structure with a dominant equity base and minimal reliance on external debt.

  • Total assets: ¥335.4 billion
  • Total liabilities: ¥72.1 billion
  • Cash and cash equivalents: ¥74.8 billion
  • Total debt: ¥77.0 million
  • Capital lease obligations: ¥193.0 million
  • Debt-to-equity ratio: ~0.21
  • Equity-to-assets ratio: ~78%
Metric Amount (¥) Notes
Total assets 335,400,000,000 As reported 30-Jun-2025
Total liabilities 72,100,000,000 Includes short- and long-term obligations
Shareholders' equity (approx.) 263,300,000,000 Assets - Liabilities
Cash & cash equivalents 74,800,000,000 Liquidity buffer exceeds stated total debt
Total debt 77,000,000 Very low absolute debt level
Capital lease obligations 193,000,000 Included in liabilities
Debt-to-equity ratio 0.21 Low leverage vs. peers
Equity-to-assets ratio 78% Strong equity foundation

Key implications for investors:

  • The company's cash position (¥74.8B) substantially exceeds its reported total debt (¥77.0M), indicating excellent short-term solvency and flexibility.
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.21) reduces financial risk and interest burden, supporting stable returns and dividend capacity.
  • Capital lease obligations (¥193.0M) are modest relative to total assets and equity, posing limited risk to liquidity.
  • Equity-to-assets ~78% underscores an ability to fund growth initiatives internally without heavy reliance on external financing.

For contextual background on the company's history, ownership and business model, see: McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Liquidity and Solvency

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) exhibits robust short-term liquidity and solid solvency metrics driven by strong cash generation and low leverage. Key ratios and cash flow figures for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, underline ample reserves and capacity to meet obligations.

  • Current ratio: ~4.5 (current assets / current liabilities), indicating strong ability to cover short-term obligations.
  • Quick ratio: ~3.8 (excluding inventory), confirming liquidity strength without reliance on inventory conversion.
  • Cash ratio: ~3.0 (cash & equivalents / current liabilities), highlighting ample immediate liquidity.
  • Operating cash flow (FY 2024): ¥17.744 billion (up from ¥17.098 billion in FY 2023).
  • Free cash flow (FY 2024): ¥15.0 billion, reflecting healthy cash generation after capital expenditures.
  • Balance sheet structure: low debt-to-equity ratio complemented by substantial cash reserves supports solvency.
Metric FY 2024 FY 2023 Comment
Current Ratio 4.5 - High short-term coverage
Quick Ratio 3.8 - Strong liquidity excluding inventory
Cash Ratio 3.0 - Large cash & equivalents relative to liabilities
Operating Cash Flow ¥17.744 billion ¥17.098 billion Year-over-year increase
Free Cash Flow ¥15.0 billion - Healthy post-CapEx cash generation
Debt-to-Equity Ratio Low - Supports long-term solvency
Cash & Cash Equivalents Substantial (supports 3.0 cash ratio) - Provides buffer for volatility

For context on the company's broader strategic priorities and capital allocation philosophy that support these liquidity and solvency metrics, see Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Valuation Analysis

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) presents a valuation profile consistent with stable earnings expectations and modest upside versus intrinsic value. Key headline metrics as of December 12, 2025, show a market capitalization of ¥850.94 billion with the share trading at ¥6,400.00. Trailing and forward P/E ratios are both 24.52, implying that market consensus sees little near-term change in earnings growth assumptions. A discounted cash flow (DCF) intrinsic valuation estimates fair value at ¥6,921.50 per share, suggesting the stock is approximately 8.7% undervalued versus the current price.
  • Market capitalization: ¥850.94 billion (12-Dec-2025)
  • Share price: ¥6,400.00 (12-Dec-2025)
  • Trailing P/E: 24.52
  • Forward P/E: 24.52
  • Intrinsic (DCF) value: ¥6,921.50 (≈8.7% upside)
  • Enterprise value: ¥780.99 billion
  • P/S ratio: 2.05
  • P/B ratio: 3.11
Metric Value Comment
Market Capitalization ¥850.94 billion Equity market value at close 12-Dec-2025
Share Price ¥6,400.00 Reference price used for ratios
Trailing P/E 24.52 Reflects last 12 months earnings
Forward P/E 24.52 Consensus forward earnings; stability implied
Intrinsic (DCF) Value ¥6,921.50 Estimated present value of future cash flows
Implied Upside ≈8.7% (Intrinsic - Market) / Market
Enterprise Value ¥780.99 billion Incorporates net debt-total firm value
P/S Ratio 2.05 Valuation relative to revenue
P/B Ratio 3.11 Valuation relative to book equity
Relative to industry benchmarks, these metrics indicate a fair market valuation: P/E multiples are within typical ranges for mature quick-service restaurant operators, while P/S and P/B suggest neither extreme cheapness nor exuberance. Investors focusing on margin stability, franchise economics, and steady cash flow growth will find the company's valuation defensible. Additional context on strategy and corporate priorities can be found here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Risk Factors

  • Intense competition: McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) faces fierce competition from domestic chains (e.g., MOS Burger, KFC Japan, Sukiya) and global brands expanding in Japan, pressuring pricing, margins and market share.
  • Consumer preference shifts: Changes toward delivery, healthier options, plant-based alternatives, or premium dining can reduce traffic to traditional quick-service formats and require menu investment.
  • Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending patterns and disposable income in Japan directly affect average ticket sizes and transaction volumes; recessions or deflationary pressures can depress same‑store sales.
  • Currency and commodity volatility: While primarily Japan-focused, exposure to imported ingredients and global supply chains means fluctuations in JPY versus USD and commodity prices (beef, wheat, oil) can increase COGS and compress margins.
  • Regulatory and compliance risk: Food safety standards, labor law changes (minimum wage increases, working-hour regulations), and nutritional labeling requirements can raise compliance and operating costs.
  • Supply chain disruptions: Natural disasters (earthquakes, typhoons), pandemics, port/logistics bottlenecks or supplier failures can impair restaurant operations and inventory availability.
  • Health and safety incidents: Any foodborne illness, contamination or safety lapse can severely damage brand reputation, trigger recalls, reduce customer trust and lead to litigation or regulatory sanctions.
  • Franchise model tensions: Disputes or weak performance at the franchisee level can affect system-wide sales, capital allocation, and reputation; support and incentive structures must be managed carefully.
  • Digital and delivery execution: Failure to scale digital ordering, loyalty programs, and profitable delivery partnerships could forfeit growth to more agile competitors.
Metric (FY2023, consolidated) Value
Revenue (JPY) ¥488.0 billion
Operating income (JPY) ¥86.0 billion
Net income (JPY) ¥60.0 billion
Total assets (JPY) ¥320.0 billion
Shareholders' equity (JPY) ¥200.0 billion
Net debt (JPY) ¥20.0 billion
Return on equity (ROE) ~30%
Current ratio 1.2x
  • Quantifying the exposure: A 10% rise in beef or wheat costs could materially reduce gross margins given food & packaging make up a large share of COGS; similarly, a sustained JPY depreciation versus USD could increase import-related costs and logistics expenses.
  • Operational contingencies: Maintaining diversified supplier networks, strategic inventory buffers, crisis communication plans and strong franchisee support are key mitigants to supply and reputation risks.
  • Regulatory and labor planning: Scenario modeling for wage increases, compliance investments and menu reformulation helps forecast margin impacts under differing regulatory outcomes.
  • Monitoring indicators: Investors should watch same-store sales growth, average ticket, digital/ delivery penetration, commodity cost trends, FX movements, franchisee profitability metrics and any recall/food-safety announcements.
McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) - Growth Opportunities

McDonald's Holdings Company , Ltd. (2702.T) is positioned to expand top-line growth and margin recovery through a multi-pronged strategy that combines physical expansion, menu and channel innovation, sustainability, and data-driven operations. Below are key opportunity areas, relevant metrics and illustrative investment estimates.
  • Restaurant portfolio expansion: As of FY2023 the company operated roughly ≈2,975 restaurants across Japan (company disclosures vary by quarter). Management targets continued net new openings and selective relocations/renovations to drive same-store sales and market share.
  • Menu innovation: Regular limited‑time offers (LTOs), localized products and premium-tier offerings aim to lift average check. LTO-driven campaigns have historically contributed single-digit percentage bumps to monthly sales during peak promotions.
  • Digital & delivery: Mobile app adoption and delivery partnerships are growth levers-digital transactions have been increasing and now often account for >30% of sales in urban stores for comparable quick-service chains. Investment in app features, loyalty and third‑party delivery integration is prioritized.
  • Partnerships & collaborations: Brand tie‑ups and co‑branded promotions target younger demographics and new consumption occasions; strategic retail and retail‑tech partners can accelerate entry into nontraditional channels (e.g., kiosks, retail corners).
  • Sustainability: Initiatives (packaging reduction, renewable energy trials, supply-chain traceability) are positioned to improve brand perception among eco-conscious consumers and may reduce certain operating costs over time.
  • Data & analytics: Investing in CRM, demand forecasting and supply‑chain optimization is expected to improve labor scheduling, reduce stockouts and increase per-store sales conversion.
Opportunity Near-term action (12-24 months) Indicative investment (JPY bn) Potential impact on KPIs
New store openings & renovations Open ~80-150 net new stores; renovate aging units 10-25 +1-3% annual system sales; incremental EBITDA margin expansion
Menu innovation & LTOs Quarterly LTO calendar + premium menu tests 1-3 (marketing & supply) +0.5-2% average check uplift during campaigns
Digital platform & delivery App upgrades, loyalty rollout, expanded delivery coverage 5-12 Increase digital penetration to 35-50% of sales; reduce order wait time
Partnerships & new channels Co‑brand campaigns; nontraditional retail pilots 0.5-2 Access to younger segments; trial conversion uplift
Sustainability programs Packaging shifts, energy efficiency pilots 1-4 Reputational gains; potential cost savings long-term
Data analytics & ops optimization Invest in BI, demand forecasting, dynamic staffing 1-6 Lower labor & waste costs; higher throughput & satisfaction
  • Unit economics: Typical Japan unit-level sales vary by location and format; renovations and digital adoption are expected to improve AUV (average unit volume) and raise unit-level profitability. Payback on renovation/digital investments is generally targeted within 24-36 months for high-traffic sites.
  • Margin drivers: Revenue mix shift toward digital/delivery and higher‑margin premium items can improve operating margin even with modest price inflation. Cost controls in supply chain and labor scheduling through analytics can protect margins against commodity and wage pressures.
  • Risks to scaling: Real estate availability in dense urban areas, delivery fees/commission pressures, supply-chain volatility and execution on consistent menu quality across franchise network.
For background on corporate structure, ownership and how the company operates, see: McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

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