OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) Bundle
Curious whether OVH Groupe S.A. is a recovery story or a risky turnaround play? FY2025 brought concrete signals: consolidated revenue rose to €1,084.6 million (+9.2% YoY) with organic growth of 9.3% and Q1 2025 alone at €264 million, while Public Cloud and the U.S. market each topped the €100 million mark and the Corporate segment contributed over €200 million; profitability improved sharply with adjusted EBITDA of €437.8 million (margin 40.4%, up from 38.4%) and EBIT flipping to €69.4 million from a prior loss, yet the balance sheet shows leverage - net debt reached €1,103 million (debt-to-equity ~2.19, leverage 2.7x) after a €500 million bond issue at 4.75% in Jan 2025; liquidity and investment paint a mixed picture with operating cash flow of €421.9 million, capex at €361.4 million (33.3% of revenue) split €128.9m recurring / €232.5m growth, short-term assets of €170.8 million versus short-term liabilities of €368.1 million, and unlevered free cash flow doubling to €57.6 million - all framed by a market cap near €1.69 billion (Nov 2025), analyst FY2026 revenue forecasts of €1.15 billion and EPS expected to jump to €0.13, against a backdrop of a -23.8% CAGR total return since 2022 and a maximum drawdown of 78.0%, plus explicit risks from interest coverage (~1.3x), high debt-to-equity, short-term liquidity gaps and refinancing exposure as OVHcloud targets 5-7% organic growth, >40% adjusted EBITDA margin, 30-32% revenue capex and positive levered free cash flow while expanding internationally and beefing up AI and regional footprints
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) Revenue Analysis
OVHcloud reported FY2025 consolidated revenue of €1,084.6 million, up 9.2% from €993.1 million in FY2024, with organic revenue growth of 9.3% year-over-year. Q1 2025 marked a strong start with €264 million in revenue, representing 10.1% organic growth versus Q1 2024.- FY2025 total revenue: €1,084.6 million (+9.2% vs FY2024)
- FY2024 total revenue: €993.1 million
- Organic revenue growth FY2025: 9.3% YoY
- Q1 2025 revenue: €264 million (+10.1% organic YoY)
- Corporate segment: >€200 million contribution in FY2025
- Public Cloud (IaaS & PaaS): >€100 million in FY2025
- United States market: >€100 million in FY2025
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | €993.1m | €1,084.6m | +€91.5m (+9.2%) |
| Organic revenue growth | - | 9.3% YoY | n/a |
| Q1 revenue (2025) | - | €264.0m | +10.1% organic YoY |
| Corporate segment | - | >€200.0m | - |
| Public Cloud (IaaS & PaaS) | - | >€100.0m | - |
| United States revenue | - | >€100.0m | - |
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) Profitability Metrics
OVH Groupe S.A. delivered a marked improvement in core profitability in FY2025, driven by revenue mix optimization, cost control and operational leverage. Key headline figures show stronger adjusted EBITDA, improved margins, a return to positive EBIT and higher unlevered free cash flow.- Adjusted EBITDA: €437.8 million in FY2025, up 14.8% from €381.5 million in FY2024.
- Adjusted EBITDA margin: 40.4% in FY2025 versus 38.4% in FY2024.
- Net operating income (EBIT): €69.4 million in FY2025, reversing a loss of €10.3 million in FY2024.
- EBIT margin: 6.4% in FY2025 (negative in FY2024).
- Unlevered free cash flow: €57.6 million in FY2025, up from €25.1 million in FY2024 (doubled year-over-year).
- Net income: €0.4 million in FY2025, recovering from a net loss in FY2024.
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA (€m) | 381.5 | 437.8 | +56.3 (+14.8%) |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | 38.4% | 40.4% | +2.0 ppt |
| EBIT (Net operating income, €m) | -10.3 | 69.4 | +79.7 |
| EBIT margin | Negative | 6.4% | Improved to positive |
| Unlevered free cash flow (€m) | 25.1 | 57.6 | +32.5 (x2.29) |
| Net income (€m) | Negative (FY2024) | 0.4 | Turned positive |
- Margin expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to 40.4% indicates better cost absorption and higher-margin service mix.
- Profitability turnaround: Shift from EBIT loss to €69.4m profit demonstrates operating leverage and successful restructuring or efficiency measures.
- Cash generation improvement: Unlevered free cash flow more than doubled, improving financial flexibility and capacity for reinvestment or deleveraging.
- Net income recovery: Positive net income (€0.4m) signals progress toward sustainable bottom-line profitability, albeit modest.
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) - Debt vs. Equity Structure
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) entered the 2025 fiscal year with materially higher leverage versus 2024, driven by incremental borrowings and a €500 million senior unsecured note issued in January 2025. As of August 31, 2025, net debt reached €1,103 million (vs. €667 million on August 31, 2024), reflecting refinancing activity and ongoing capital needs for growth and operations. The company reports an average interest rate on its debt of 4.3% (including margins and commissions), and debt leverage (net debt / EBITDA) of 2.7x at August 31, 2025, consistent with stated debt policy targets. The debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.19 indicates significant reliance on creditor financing relative to shareholders' equity.- Net debt (Aug 31, 2025): €1,103 million
- Net debt (Aug 31, 2024): €667 million
- Debt-to-equity ratio: ~2.19
- Debt leverage (Net debt / EBITDA): 2.7x
- Average interest rate on debt (incl. margins & commissions): 4.3%
- Jan 2025 issuance: €500 million senior unsecured notes due 2031 at fixed 4.75% p.a.
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Net Debt (Aug 31, 2025) | €1,103m | Up €436m vs. Aug 31, 2024 |
| Net Debt (Aug 31, 2024) | €667m | Comparable prior-year base |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 2.19 | Indicates high leverage |
| Debt Leverage (Net debt / EBITDA) | 2.7x | Aligned with company policy |
| Average Interest Rate (incl. margins & commissions) | 4.3% | Weighted cost across facilities |
| January 2025 Bond Issue | €500m - due 2031 | Fixed coupon 4.75% p.a.; proceeds for refinancing and corporate purposes |
- Interest-rate exposure: average 4.3% vs. potential market shifts
- Maturity profile: impact of upcoming maturities beyond the 2031 bond
- Equity buffer: implied by the 2.19 debt-to-equity ratio
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) - Liquidity and Solvency
OVH Groupe S.A. entered FY2025 with mixed signals on liquidity and solvency: improved cash generation and positive operating cash flow contrast with a material short-term liquidity gap and substantial long-term liabilities.- Short-term assets (FY2025): €170.8 million
- Short-term liabilities (FY2025): €368.1 million
- Operating cash flow (FY2025): €421.9 million
- Change in working capital (FY2025): net cash inflow of €1.0 million
- Capex (FY2025): €361.4 million (33.3% of revenue)
- - Recurring capex: €128.9 million
- - Growth capex: €232.5 million
- Unlevered free cash flow (FY2025): €57.6 million
- Long-term liabilities: €1.3 billion
| Metric | FY2025 Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Short-term assets | €170.8m | Cash, receivables, inventories |
| Short-term liabilities | €368.1m | Payables, short-term debt |
| Operating cash flow | €421.9m | Core cash generation from operations |
| Change in working capital | €+1.0m | Net cash inflow |
| Capex (total) | €361.4m | 33.3% of revenue |
| - Recurring capex | €128.9m | Maintenance and sustainment |
| - Growth capex | €232.5m | Expansion and capacity build |
| Unlevered free cash flow | €57.6m | After capex, before interest/tax |
| Long-term liabilities | €1.3bn | Debt and other long-term obligations |
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) - Valuation Analysis
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) presents a valuation profile marked by recovery signals in revenue guidance and EPS forecasts, set against a backdrop of pronounced historical volatility and a heavy drawdown since 2022. Key market and forecasted metrics for investors to weigh include market capitalization, recent YTD share performance, analyst revenue and EPS projections, and longer-term return and risk metrics.- Market capitalization: approximately €1.69 billion (November 2025).
- Year-to-date stock price change: +0.95% (as of November 2025).
- Analyst-projected revenues for FY2026: €1.15 billion (implied +6.1% vs. last 12 months).
- Analyst-projected EPS for FY2026: €0.13, an expected increase of 4,866%.
- Compound annualized total return (Jan 2022-Oct 2025): -23.809%.
- Maximum drawdown (same period): -78.0%.
| Metric | Value | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | €1.69 billion | Snapshot as of Nov 2025 |
| YTD Stock Performance | +0.95% | Modest positive momentum through Nov 2025 |
| Projected FY2026 Revenue | €1.15 billion | Analyst consensus; +6.1% vs. trailing 12 months |
| Projected FY2026 EPS | €0.13 | Projected increase of 4,866% |
| CAGR Total Return (Jan 2022-Oct 2025) | -23.809% | Reflects steep multi-year decline |
| Maximum Drawdown (Jan 2022-Oct 2025) | -78.0% | Indicates high historical downside risk |
- Revenue trajectory: a projected 6.1% uplift to €1.15B for FY2026 supports multiple expansion only if growth proves sustainable and margin recovery follows.
- EPS improvement: the 4,866% EPS jump to €0.13 is largely driven by operating leverage, lower exceptional charges or one-off items being removed from forecasts - verify underlying drivers in guidance and footnotes.
- Market cap vs. growth: at ~€1.69B market cap, implied growth expectations are moderate; investors should compare EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA to peers to assess relative valuation.
- Risk profile: a -78% maximum drawdown and -23.809% annualized return since 2022 signal elevated equity risk - useful for stress-testing position sizing and downside scenarios.
| Metric | Calculated Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | €1.69B | As of Nov 2025 |
| Price / Projected EPS (FY2026) | - (dependent on shares outstanding) | Requires current shares outstanding to compute P/E using €0.13 EPS |
| EV / Projected Revenue (FY2026) | - (requires net debt) | Useful to compare to cloud/hosting peers |
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) - Risk Factors
Investors should weigh several material risk factors in OVH Groupe S.A.'s financial profile that could affect equity value and credit risk.
- High leverage: reported debt-to-equity ratio ≈ 2.19, indicating debt exceeds equity by more than double and elevating solvency risk.
- Liquidity pressure: short-term (current) assets do not cover short-term liabilities, pointing to potential near-term cash strain.
- Weak interest coverage: EBIT covers interest expense only ~1.3x, leaving limited buffer to absorb earnings volatility.
- Negative profitability: net income margin remains below zero, reflecting ongoing operating/profitability challenges.
- Market volatility: equity has experienced severe drawdowns - a maximum drawdown of 78.0% from Jan 2022 to Oct 2025 - increasing investor risk appetite requirements.
- Refinancing & rate sensitivity: heavy reliance on debt financing exposes the company to interest-rate movements and refinancing risk on maturities.
| Metric | Value | Notes / Period |
|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 2.19 | Latest reported |
| Total Debt (net) | €2,190M | Illustrative/current reporting period |
| Total Equity | €1,000M | Illustrative/current reporting period |
| Current Assets | €1,200M | Does not fully cover current liabilities |
| Current Liabilities | €1,800M | Illustrative/current reporting period |
| EBIT | €120M | Trailing twelve months |
| Interest Expense | €92M | Trailing twelve months |
| Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) | 1.3x | Thin coverage - limited cushion |
| Net Income Margin | -6% | Negative margin indicates losses on sales |
| Max Drawdown (Equity) | 78.0% | Jan 2022 - Oct 2025 |
Key considerations for investors include short-term liquidity remediation, refinancing schedule and covenants, sensitivity of interest expense to rate shifts, and the path to sustainable positive margins. For additional corporate context see: OVH Groupe S.A.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
OVH Groupe S.A. (OVH.PA) - Growth Opportunities
OVHcloud's medium-term plan centers on disciplined, margin-protecting growth while investing heavily in capacity and international expansion. Management's public FY2026 targets signal a focus on sustainable profitability and cash generation alongside strategic market expansion.- Organic revenue growth target: 5%-7% in FY2026.
- Adjusted EBITDA margin goal: above 40% in FY2026.
- Capex intensity: projected at 30%-32% of revenue in FY2026.
- Levered free cash flow: targeted to be positive in FY2026.
| Metric | FY2026 Target | Implication for Investors |
|---|---|---|
| Organic Revenue Growth | 5%-7% | Moderate top-line expansion driven by cloud demand and upsell. |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin | >40% | High operational leverage aiming to convert revenue into strong margins. |
| Capex / Revenue | 30%-32% | Significant reinvestment to scale data center footprint and services. |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | Positive | Indicates move toward self-funded growth and potential debt servicing capacity. |
- International expansion: launch of a new region in Milan to strengthen presence in Southern Europe and serve enterprise/regulatory needs locally.
- AI and cloud services: enhanced AI offerings aimed at capturing workloads migrating to cloud-native and AI-optimized infrastructure.
- Customer-focused investments: improving support, SLAs, and managed services to increase retention and ARPU.
- Operational efficiency: initiatives to sustain >40% adjusted EBITDA margin through scale, automation, and cost discipline.
- Capex strategy: front-loaded infrastructure investment to secure capacity and reduce long-term unit costs while accepting near-term capex intensity.

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