Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) Bundle
As investors sift through Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ), the numbers demand attention: in Q3 2025 revenue hit 1.55 billion CNY (up 35.19% year-over-year) with trailing twelve months revenue at 6.61 billion CNY (a 44.47% YoY rise), while market capitalization stood at 46.75 billion CNY on December 12, 2025 with a share price of 62.86 CNY; profitability paints a mixed picture-Q3 net income was 115 million CNY (up 58.18% YoY) but TTM EPS is only 0.58 CNY yielding a P/E of 112.47 and a P/S of 6.86-balance-sheet strength is clear with net cash of 3.07 billion CNY (cash 3.95 billion CNY versus debt 884.7 million CNY) and conservative leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25, current ratio 2.98, quick ratio 2.10), yet liquidity and cash-flow metrics raise flags: total assets 18.19 billion CNY against liabilities of 5.88 billion CNY, cash and short-term investments 5.18 billion CNY, a Q3 net cash change of 1.38 billion CNY (+296.91% YoY) alongside negative free cash flow of -365.34 million CNY; valuation multiples are rich (EV/Sales 7.34, EV/EBITDA 40.55, P/B 3.46, P/FCF 302.91) even as risk factors loom-H1 2025 net income was forecast to drop by 80.97%-86.26% due largely to an approximate 200 million CNY loss in copper smelting and weakness in lithium salt margins-counterbalancing growth drivers include analysts projecting 83.3% annual EPS growth over three years and expected revenue growth of 20% per year, plus rapid rare light metal expansion (≈0.71 billion CNY revenue in H1 2025, +50.88% YoY) and cost-reduction plans in underperforming segments that could reshape near-term performance.
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Revenue Analysis
Sinomine Resource Group's top-line trajectory shows a pronounced recovery into 2025 after a revenue contraction in 2024. Third-quarter 2025 revenue accelerated to 1.55 billion CNY (up 35.19% year-over-year), contributing to a trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of 6.61 billion CNY - a 44.47% increase versus the prior year. By contrast, full-year 2024 revenue totaled 5.36 billion CNY, a decline of 10.80% from 2023. Revenue per employee and valuation multiples highlight both operational scale and market expectations.- Q3 2025 revenue: 1.55 billion CNY (+35.19% YoY)
- TTM revenue: 6.61 billion CNY (+44.47% YoY)
- FY 2024 revenue: 5.36 billion CNY (-10.80% YoY)
- Revenue per employee: 2.07 million CNY (3,195 employees)
- Price-to-sales (P/S) ratio: 6.86
- Market capitalization (12 Dec 2025): 46.75 billion CNY; stock price: 62.86 CNY
| Metric | Value | YoY / Note |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 Revenue | 1.55 billion CNY | +35.19% vs Q3 2024 |
| TTM Revenue | 6.61 billion CNY | +44.47% YoY |
| FY 2024 Revenue | 5.36 billion CNY | -10.80% YoY |
| Revenue per Employee | 2.07 million CNY | Workforce: 3,195 |
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | 6.86 | Market valuation metric |
| Market Capitalization | 46.75 billion CNY | As of 12 Dec 2025 |
| Share Price | 62.86 CNY | As of 12 Dec 2025 |
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Profitability Metrics
Key profitability indicators for Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) illustrate recent operational performance and capital efficiency, with notable year-over-year growth in Q3 2025.
- Q3 2025 net income: 115 million CNY (up 58.18% vs Q3 2024)
- Net profit margin (Q3 2025): 7.42%
- TTM EPS: 0.58 CNY; P/E ratio: 112.47
- Return on equity (ROE): 3.27%
- Return on assets (ROA): 2.45%
- Return on invested capital (ROIC): 2.96%
- Taxes paid (past 12 months): 311.37 million CNY
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Net income (Q3 2025) | 115 million CNY | +58.18% YoY |
| Net profit margin | 7.42% | Profit per revenue earned |
| TTM EPS | 0.58 CNY | Trailing twelve months |
| P/E ratio | 112.47 | Market valuation vs EPS |
| ROE | 3.27% | Return on shareholders' equity |
| ROA | 2.45% | Return on total assets |
| ROIC | 2.96% | Efficiency of invested capital |
| Taxes paid (12 months) | 311.37 million CNY | Contribution to national revenue |
For background on corporate structure, history and how the business generates revenue, see: Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure
Sinomine Resource Group enters the period with a markedly conservative capital structure and substantial liquidity, driven by significant cash reserves and materially reduced gross debt. Key balance-sheet strengths support operational flexibility and reduce refinancing risk while valuation multiples indicate market expectations relative to earnings and cash flow.- Gross debt (Sep 2024): 884.7 million CNY (down from 1.49 billion CNY year-over-year).
- Cash and equivalents: 3.95 billion CNY, yielding a net cash position of 3.07 billion CNY (cash minus debt).
- Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.25 - conservative leverage relative to peers and historical norms.
- Current ratio: 2.98; Quick ratio: 2.10 - strong short-term liquidity and working capital sufficiency.
- Interest coverage ratio: 11.67 - ample ability to meet interest obligations from operating earnings.
- Valuation multiples: EV/EBITDA 40.55 and EV/Free Cash Flow 291.61 - high multiple signaling market pricing relative to earnings and free cash flow.
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Debt (Sep 2024) | 884.7 million CNY | Reduced from 1.49 billion CNY YoY |
| Cash & Equivalents | 3.95 billion CNY | High cash buffer |
| Net Cash Position | 3.07 billion CNY | Cash minus gross debt |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.25 | Conservative leverage |
| Current Ratio | 2.98 | Short-term liquidity |
| Quick Ratio | 2.10 | Liquid assets cover current liabilities |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | 11.67 | EBIT / Interest Expense |
| EV / EBITDA | 40.55 | Relative valuation vs. operating earnings |
| EV / Free Cash Flow | 291.61 | Relative valuation vs. free cash generation |
- Implication: the capital structure provides flexibility for capital spending, M&A, or shareholder returns given low leverage and large cash reserves.
- Risk note: elevated EV multiples (EV/EBITDA and EV/FCF) imply market expectations for growth or limited near-term free cash generation relative to enterprise value.
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Liquidity and Solvency
Sinomine Resource Group's balance-sheet position as of September 2025 shows a conservative leverage profile and strong short-term liquidity, tempered by negative free cash flow in the period.- Total assets: 18.19 billion CNY
- Total liabilities: 5.88 billion CNY
- Shareholders' equity (implied): 12.31 billion CNY
- Cash & short-term investments: 5.18 billion CNY
- Net change in cash (Q3 2025): +1.38 billion CNY (296.91% YoY)
- Free cash flow (trailing period/Q3): -365.34 million CNY
- Net income (Q3 2025): 115.09 million CNY (+58.18% YoY)
- Effective tax rate: 30.70%
| Metric | Value | Derived Ratio / Note |
|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | 18.19 billion CNY | |
| Total Liabilities | 5.88 billion CNY | Liabilities-to-Assets = 32.36% |
| Shareholders' Equity (Implied) | 12.31 billion CNY | Assets - Liabilities |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.18 billion CNY | Cash-to-Liabilities ≈ 88.03% |
| Net Change in Cash (Q3 2025) | +1.38 billion CNY | YoY change +296.91% |
| Free Cash Flow (trailing/Q3) | -365.34 million CNY | Negative FCF indicates cash outflows > operating cash inflows |
| Net Income (Q3 2025) | 115.09 million CNY | YoY +58.18% |
| Effective Tax Rate | 30.70% | Reflects statutory/operational tax burden |
- Leverage: With liabilities at 32.36% of assets, solvency appears conservative; implied equity cushion is ~12.31 billion CNY.
- Liquidity: Cash and short-term investments (5.18 billion CNY) cover ~88% of total liabilities, supporting near-term obligations and providing optionality for capex or working capital.
- Cash-flow dynamics: Despite a strong quarter-over-quarter cash inflow (+1.38 billion CNY), trailing free cash flow is negative (-365.34 million CNY), signaling capital expenditures, working capital build, or other cash uses exceeding operating cash generation.
- Profitability vs. cash: Net income improved materially (+58.18% YoY to 115.09 million CNY), but earnings quality may be constrained if net income is not translating into positive free cash flow.
- Tax impact: An effective tax rate of 30.70% should be incorporated into forward EPS and cash-flow forecasts.
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Valuation Analysis
Key market valuation metrics for Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) show the stock is trading at notable premiums to book value, sales, earnings and cash flows, reflecting market expectations and relative scarcity of comparable assets.
- Price-to-Book (P/B): 3.46 - market values the company at 3.46x its book equity.
- Price-to-Tangible-Book (P/TBV): 5.98 - higher than P/B, indicating significant valuation above tangible asset base.
- EV/Sales: 7.34 - enterprise value is 7.34x annual sales, implying a high revenue multiple.
- EV/EBITDA: 40.55 - elevated multiple on operating profitability.
- EV/EBIT: 71.97 - shows an even larger multiple when depreciation/amortization are excluded.
- EV/FCF: 291.61 - extremely high, signalling low free cash flow relative to enterprise value.
- P/FCF: 302.91 and P/OCF: 43.46 - share price multiples to cash flow metrics are stretched.
- PEG: Not available - growth-adjusted valuation metric cannot be computed with available inputs.
| Valuation Metric | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-Book (P/B) | 3.46 | Market pays 3.46x book equity per share |
| Price-to-Tangible-Book (P/TBV) | 5.98 | Higher multiple vs. P/B - premium to tangible assets |
| EV / Sales | 7.34 | Enterprise value ~7.34x annual revenue |
| EV / EBITDA | 40.55 | High multiple on operating profit |
| EV / EBIT | 71.97 | Significantly larger when excluding D&A |
| EV / Free Cash Flow | 291.61 | Very high - limited free cash flow relative to EV |
| Price / Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) | 302.91 | Share price implies long payback via FCF |
| Price / Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) | 43.46 | Also indicates premium vs. operating cash generation |
| PEG | N/A | Growth-adjusted P/E not available |
Investors referencing historical, corporate and operational context can combine these ratios with business-specific details here: Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Risk Factors
Key downside exposures for Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. in the first half of 2025 center on commodity-price and processing-fee pressures in copper and lithium, while rare light metals remain a positive offset. Below are quantified risk items, business drivers and management responses investors should monitor.
- Projected net income decline (H1 2025): expected drop of 80.97%-86.26% year-over-year, primarily driven by the copper smelting segment downturn.
- Copper smelting: estimated net income loss of ~200 million CNY due to a sharp fall in industry processing fees and tight global copper concentrate supply.
- Lithium salt products: significant decrease in sales revenue and gross margin caused by market fluctuations and falling industry prices, pressuring segment profitability.
- Rare light metals (cesium, rubidium): continued good growth trend and positive margins, acting as an important stability driver for consolidated results.
- Operational response: company has announced and is implementing cost-reduction measures targeted at the copper smelting business to limit losses and preserve cash flow.
| Metric | H1 2024 (actual) | H1 2025 (expected) | YoY change / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated Net Income (CNY) | - (baseline) | - (expected decline 80.97%-86.26%) | Sharp decline driven by copper smelting loss |
| Copper smelting net income (CNY) | Positive in prior period | Approximately -200,000,000 | Loss from lower processing fees & concentrate tightness |
| Lithium salt sales revenue (CNY) | Higher in prior period | Significantly lower | Market price decline and reduced margins |
| Rare light metals revenue & margin | Growing | Maintains growth and profitability | Key support for company performance |
| Cost reduction measures | NA | Active - targeting copper smelting | Expected to mitigate some losses |
- Market/commodity risks: continued weakness in copper processing fees or further drops in lithium prices would deepen H1 losses and could pressure liquidity ratios.
- Supply-chain risk: tight global copper concentrate availability raises input cost volatility and reduces throughput - a direct driver of the ~200M CNY loss.
- Concentration risk: heavy reliance on cyclical metals (copper, lithium) means earnings are sensitive to short-term inventory and price swings; rare light metals partially diversify but are smaller in scale.
- Execution risk: success of cost-reduction measures will determine near-term margin recovery; failure to implement effectively could extend profit weakness into full-year results.
- Investor implication: monitor quarterly releases for realized copper processing fees, lithium ASPs and volumes, rare-light growth rates, and cash-flow / leverage metrics.
Further investor-oriented context and shareholder activity can be found at: Exploring Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ) - Growth Opportunities
Analysts' aggregate view and company disclosures point to a high-growth trajectory for Sinomine Resource Group Co., Ltd. (002738.SZ), underpinned by rapid earnings expansion expectations, robust revenue momentum in niche materials, and active margin-recovery initiatives across legacy segments.- Consensus EPS growth: 83.3% CAGR over the next three years (analyst forecast).
- Revenue growth outlook: ~20% CAGR vs. Chinese market ~14.6% CAGR - outpacing peers.
- Market-cap appreciation: +80.35% over the past 12 months, signaling strong investor confidence.
| Metric | Value | Notes / Period |
|---|---|---|
| Rare light metal revenue | 0.71 billion CNY | H1 2025; +50.88% YoY |
| Analysts' EPS CAGR | 83.3% (3 years) | Consensus estimate |
| Revenue CAGR (expected) | 20% (3 years) | Company/market consensus |
| Chinese market revenue growth | 14.6% (expected) | Comparable market benchmark |
| Market capitalization change | +80.35% | 12-month change |
- Rare light metals (cesium, rubidium): Scale-up and commercialization after H1 2025 revenue of ~0.71bn CNY (YoY +50.88%), driving higher-margin sales.
- Lithium salts: Business-model optimization and targeted cost reduction to lift segment profitability and improve unit economics.
- Copper smelting: Implementation of efficiency and cost-control measures aimed at converting current losses into profits.
- Portfolio mix shift: Emphasis on specialty metals and downstream products to capture premium pricing and reduce commodity cyclicality.
| Indicator | Why it matters | Target outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Segment gross margins | Shows impact of cost reductions in lithium and copper | Expansion, especially in lithium salts |
| Revenue growth vs. market | Validates outperformance (20% vs 14.6%) | Maintain or widen gap |
| Profitability (EBIT/Net income) | Reflects turnaround in copper smelting | Positive trend, supporting EPS CAGR |
| Cash flow / CapEx | Funds expansion in rare metals and lithium optimization | Healthy FCF to sustain growth |

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